Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000108 0.000119 0.000131 0.000144 0.000159 0.000175 0.000193
2026-01-04 0.000088 0.000104 0.000123 0.000146 0.000174 0.000206 0.000248
2026-01-11 0.000074 0.000092 0.000115 0.000144 0.000182 0.000229 0.000293
2026-01-18 0.000065 0.000085 0.000110 0.000145 0.000191 0.000253 0.000342
2026-01-25 0.000058 0.000078 0.000104 0.000142 0.000196 0.000271 0.000383
2026-02-01 0.000052 0.000073 0.000101 0.000142 0.000203 0.000291 0.000429
2026-02-08 0.000047 0.000067 0.000096 0.000140 0.000206 0.000306 0.000468
2026-02-15 0.000043 0.000063 0.000091 0.000137 0.000208 0.000318 0.000504
2026-02-22 0.000040 0.000060 0.000090 0.000138 0.000216 0.000340 0.000559
2026-03-01 0.000038 0.000058 0.000089 0.000140 0.000226 0.000367 0.000624
2026-03-08 0.000035 0.000054 0.000085 0.000137 0.000226 0.000377 0.000660
2026-03-15 0.000032 0.000051 0.000080 0.000132 0.000223 0.000381 0.000687
2026-03-22 0.000030 0.000049 0.000079 0.000133 0.000231 0.000405 0.000755
2026-03-29 0.000028 0.000047 0.000078 0.000134 0.000239 0.000432 0.000832
2026-04-05 0.000026 0.000044 0.000075 0.000132 0.000242 0.000448 0.000891
2026-04-12 0.000025 0.000043 0.000074 0.000133 0.000249 0.000474 0.000972
2026-04-19 0.000023 0.000041 0.000071 0.000131 0.000250 0.000489 0.001032
2026-04-26 0.000022 0.000039 0.000070 0.000131 0.000256 0.000512 0.001113
2026-05-03 0.000021 0.000037 0.000067 0.000129 0.000256 0.000525 0.001174
2026-05-10 0.000019 0.000035 0.000065 0.000126 0.000256 0.000535 0.001229
2026-05-17 0.000019 0.000034 0.000064 0.000127 0.000264 0.000565 0.001335
2026-05-24 0.000018 0.000034 0.000064 0.000129 0.000274 0.000601 0.001463
2026-05-31 0.000017 0.000032 0.000061 0.000126 0.000272 0.000610 0.001520